thereby contributes to determining the appropriate monetary policy reactions to counteract such risks. The information content of interest rates and their derivatives for monetary policy 1 Introduction Information embedded in the market prices of various financial assets provides central banks with timely forward-looking Interest-Rate Derivative: An interest-rate derivative is a financial instrument with a value that increases and decreases based on movements in interest rates. Interest-rate derivatives are often EXPECTATIONS OF MONETARY POLICY IN AUSTRALIA IMPLIED BY THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION OF INTEREST RATE DERIVATIVES Abstract: This paper describes and compares different methods of extracting the implied probability distribution of the underlying interest rate futures from the prices of traded options on these (2000). Expectations of monetary policy in Australia implied by the probability distribution of interest rate derivatives. The European Journal of Finance: Vol. 6, No. 2, pp. 113-125.
4 Jan 2020 management of a short-term policy interest rate. funds and Eurodollar futures markets provide useful estimates of policy expectations (Kuttner 19 Sep 2019 Bank Indonesia has also strengthened its monetary operations strategy in market through Central Counterparty (CCP) interest rate derivatives and inflation expectations due to policy consistency by Bank Indonesia to 6 Nov 2013 One place to look for market views on these issues is interest-rate derivatives markets, where traders put money at risk by taking positions in Expectations of monetary policy influence financial markets and economic Realized volatility of interest rate futures is a reasonable proxy for monetary policy. 10 Aug 2015 indexed swaps (OIS), Eurodollar futures, and options on interest rate futures. expectations and surprises at horizons defined by future FOMC meetings. (i) it is an indicator about the expected path of future monetary policy;
8 Mar 2018 swap (OIS) rates as measures of monetary policy expectations. used as financial market-based measures of US interest rate expectations.
But when there is a divergence between the path or destination for the policy rate implied by the surveys and a straight read of interest rate derivatives prices, I place at least as much weight on the survey evidence—for example, derived from the surveys of primary dealers and market participants conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New